Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.389738 0.422921 0.458759 0.500537 0.548155 0.601038 0.664636
2024-12-29 0.325193 0.372691 0.428416 0.499612 0.589652 0.701884 0.855977
2025-01-05 0.275119 0.327589 0.392909 0.482334 0.605199 0.774120 1.036047
2025-01-12 0.236886 0.289772 0.358477 0.457502 0.602618 0.818830 1.191882
2025-01-19 0.209212 0.261247 0.331116 0.436033 0.598177 0.857073 1.349629
2025-01-26 0.196345 0.250510 0.325822 0.444052 0.637980 0.973739 1.695339
2025-02-02 0.190082 0.247831 0.331035 0.467888 0.707367 1.162151 2.298489
2025-02-09 0.179498 0.237698 0.323746 0.470271 0.739741 1.291060 2.862591
2025-02-16 0.167588 0.224457 0.310150 0.459907 0.746040 1.367290 3.349540
2025-02-23 0.159279 0.215863 0.302846 0.459124 0.770411 1.493248 4.138235
2025-03-02 0.150399 0.205681 0.291982 0.450429 0.776722 1.577741 4.889668
2025-03-09 0.143177 0.197539 0.283694 0.445312 0.789540 1.685154 5.934086
2025-03-16 0.135300 0.188189 0.273184 0.435864 0.793647 1.779275 7.194094
2025-03-23 0.131254 0.184769 0.272577 0.445842 0.846348 2.056601 10.741269
2025-03-30 0.124284 0.176170 0.262337 0.435437 0.847702 2.167848 13.633520
2025-04-06 0.116508 0.165809 0.248259 0.415634 0.821394 2.167406 15.444535
2025-04-13 0.109637 0.156593 0.235616 0.397567 0.796604 2.164664 17.497602
2025-04-20 0.106963 0.154202 0.235014 0.404815 0.841736 2.482595 30.196342
2025-04-27 0.106269 0.155071 0.240376 0.425697 0.931869 3.104535 88.584463
2025-05-04 0.103209 0.151691 0.237531 0.427815 0.967187 3.496498 246.694111
2025-05-11 0.099043 0.146172 0.230240 0.418808 0.965241 3.671968 629.625077
2025-05-18 0.096133 0.142705 0.226653 0.418132 0.990934 4.070977 22425.717569
2025-05-25 0.092649 0.138057 0.220471 0.410551 0.991461 4.299660 NaN